Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-29 0.000173 0.000193 0.000215 0.000240 0.000268 0.000298 0.000333
2025-07-06 0.000144 0.000171 0.000202 0.000240 0.000286 0.000337 0.000401
2025-07-13 0.000121 0.000152 0.000190 0.000238 0.000298 0.000370 0.000464
2025-07-20 0.000108 0.000142 0.000185 0.000244 0.000320 0.000416 0.000546
2025-07-27 0.000095 0.000132 0.000179 0.000245 0.000336 0.000454 0.000621
2025-08-03 0.000085 0.000122 0.000172 0.000246 0.000349 0.000490 0.000696
2025-08-10 0.000076 0.000113 0.000165 0.000243 0.000357 0.000518 0.000763
2025-08-17 0.000069 0.000106 0.000160 0.000245 0.000372 0.000556 0.000844
2025-08-24 0.000062 0.000099 0.000154 0.000241 0.000378 0.000582 0.000910
2025-08-31 0.000057 0.000093 0.000149 0.000240 0.000387 0.000612 0.000984
2025-09-07 0.000052 0.000088 0.000145 0.000240 0.000397 0.000645 0.001064
2025-09-14 0.000048 0.000083 0.000140 0.000238 0.000404 0.000672 0.001136
2025-09-21 0.000045 0.000080 0.000138 0.000242 0.000421 0.000718 0.001245
2025-09-28 0.000042 0.000076 0.000136 0.000243 0.000434 0.000758 0.001347
2025-10-05 0.000038 0.000072 0.000131 0.000241 0.000441 0.000788 0.001434
2025-10-12 0.000037 0.000070 0.000131 0.000248 0.000463 0.000846 0.001574
2025-10-19 0.000034 0.000068 0.000129 0.000249 0.000477 0.000890 0.001693
2025-10-26 0.000032 0.000065 0.000127 0.000250 0.000489 0.000930 0.001807
2025-11-02 0.000030 0.000062 0.000123 0.000247 0.000494 0.000960 0.001903
2025-11-09 0.000028 0.000059 0.000121 0.000249 0.000508 0.001006 0.002034
2025-11-16 0.000026 0.000056 0.000117 0.000246 0.000512 0.001033 0.002129
2025-11-23 0.000024 0.000054 0.000114 0.000245 0.000519 0.001068 0.002243
2025-11-30 0.000023 0.000052 0.000112 0.000245 0.000529 0.001108 0.002370